Cobra Effect · People and organisations

Gall’s law

Complex systems that work grow out of simple ones that worked.

6 cards, read aloud in 2:29, with a test and sources.

A small plain hardback book lying on a doctor’s desk beside a stethoscope, plain background, nothing else, no border

A children’s doctor writes a book about why nothing works.

John Gall is a paediatrician. In 1975 he self publishes a small sardonic book called General Systemantics, after 30 publishers turn it down. It is about systems. Hospitals, armies, bureaucracies, machines. One of its lines has outlived the rest.

A complex system that works evolved from a simple system that worked.

That is Gall’s law. He goes further. A complex system designed from scratch never works, and cannot be patched to make it work. You have to start over with a working simple system. He wrote it as a joke. Engineers stopped laughing around the third failed project.

Look at anything big that works.

The internet began as a handful of university computers that could send each other a message. The Wright brothers flew gliders for three years before they added an engine. A city is not designed. It is a village that kept working. The complexity came later, one working step at a time.

Now look at anything big that was designed complete.

Governments have spent billions on grand computer systems meant to switch on all at once, and switched them off instead. The new headquarters that nobody can find their way around. The reorganisation with a 200 page plan. Each was complete on paper before it had ever worked at any size.

Why the shortcut fails.

A working simple system has already met reality and been corrected by it a hundred times. A designed complex system has met only its designer. Every part contains guesses, and the guesses interact. You cannot debug a thousand guesses at once. You can debug one.

So start with the smallest thing that works. Then grow it.

Before the plan, build the version that does one job for one person, and use it. Add the next piece only when the last one is working in real hands. If someone shows you a complete design for something that has never run at all, ask what the simple working version was. If there wasn’t one, there won’t be a complex working one either.

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